“All this
talk about AI and the future of work as we know it, do you think it’s for real
and how far away is it?”
I confirmed
my belief it is real and commented first on the pace of change.
I suggested
that based on my experience, the change would be very slow for a period of time,
before all of a sudden moving to hyper speed. I provided several examples to
back up my view including the slow adoption by business of e-mail, before it
exploded to be an essential tool, almost overnight. The same with the move from
mainframe to PC computing in the workplace.
The person I
was conversing with is at a “career age” that may be challenging.
In their
late 20’s and having worked for 5 years, they have not yet reached a level of
seniority where they are no longer doing routine work, including the activities
that will disappear in the new world.
The change
to the concept of work as we know it today is considered to be most challenging
for those older, but I can see a much younger cohort being severely affected. Sadly,
the older you are, perhaps the cynical you are too. The under 30’s retain the
optimism that comes with their generation.
My conversation
partner was not overly distressed, more interested in thinking it through.
We moved on
to what ancillary changes may look like.
We discussed
many things including that of recruitment. Rather than matching people to jobs,
it may be a more targeted approach of matching skills to tasks. I referenced
the Michael Lewis book, Moneyball where each act within a baseball game was
allocated a value. To be a successful team, it was necessary to have players
with the combined skill set to equal the sum total of the values needed to win
a game. Each player was then paid accordingly.
I suggested
the recruiters challenge of the future may be to provide a person or people who
possess the collective skills needed to “win the game” and to do so within the
allocated budget.
As far as
each person is concerned, their suitability for a specific role is assessed based
on qualifications and past experienced performing that role, or a similar role.
In future, the formal qualification may be a platform however their actual ability
to perform individual tasks may be what is valued most.
For example,
an individual may be an excellent writer, a very capable public presenter and a
creative thinker who also has an accounting degree.
Possessing
these skills, they will be paid for their ability to take the work produced by
AI, interpret it, produce a report and present it to the Strategy Committee or
Board together with a set of options for consideration.
And, they may
perform this task as a freelancer for a number of corporates.
Speaking of
the subject of the future of work, I recently read this excellent article by
Petra Zink titled "Why the future of work won't feel like work".
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